The eighth UQSay seminar on Uncertainty Quantification and related topics, organized by L2S, Anses, MSSMAT, and EDF R&D will take place on Thursday afternoon, February 27, 2020, at CentraleSupelec Paris-Saclay (Eiffel building, amphi V).
The role of uncertainty analysis in biological invasion risk analysis
Biological invasions have sometimes spectacular consequences on our environment. They can have impacts on agricultural production, on human health and sometimes even call into question the existence of certain economic sectors. In order to assess the risks of potentially harmful organisms and identify appropriate management measures, numerous risk analyses are carried out every year by scientists from various disciplines in different countries. However, the likelihood of entry, establishment, spread of a biological organism and its potential impact depend on many uncertain factors. In this presentation, I will describe the main approaches used to conduct uncertainty analyses in this area and discuss their relevance and limitations for decision support.
Considerations around the concepts of uncertainty, risk and decision making in safety, security, environment and health
Through several operational examples, we will discuss the links between risks, uncertainties and decisions and the effect of modeling processes on decision support.
References: see ResearchGate and the book "Expertise Under Scrutiny".
Organizers: Emmanuel Vazquez (L2S), Laurent Guillier (Anses) and Julien Bect (L2S).